Assessing the impact of the COVID-19 restrictions on HIV testing services in Malawi: an interrupted time series analysis.

Background: Restrictions on public gatherings and movement to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 may have disrupted access and availability of HIV services in Malawi. We quantified the impact of these restrictions on HIV testing services in Malawi.Methods: We conducted an interrupted time series analysis of routine aggregated programme data from 808 public and private, adult and paediatric health facilities across rural and urban communities in Malawi between January 2018 and March 2020 (pre-restrictions) and April to December 2020 (post restrictions), with April 2020 as the month restrictions took effect. Positivity rates were expressed as the proportion of new diagnoses per 100 persons tested. Data were summarised using counts and median monthly tests stratified by sex, age, type of health facility and service delivery points at health facilities. The immediate effect of restriction and post-lockdown outcomes trends were quantified using negative binomial segmented regression models adjusted for seasonality and autocorrelation.Results: The median monthly number of HIV tests and diagnosed people living with HIV (PLHIV) declined from 261 979 (interquartile range [IQR] 235 654-283 293) and 7 929 (IQR 6 590-9 316) before the restrictions, to 167 307 (IQR 161 122-185 094) and 4 658 (IQR 4 535-5 393) respectively, post restriction. Immediately after restriction, HIV tests declined by 31.9% (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0.681; 95% CI 0.619-0.750), the number of PLHIV diagnosed declined by 22.8% (IRR 0.772; 95% CI 0.695-0.857), while positivity increased by 13.4% (IRR 1.134; 95% CI 1.031-1.247). As restrictions eased, total HIV testing outputs and the number of new diagnoses increased by an average of 2.3% each month (slope change: 1.023; 95% CI 1.010-1.037) and 2.5% (slope change:1.025; 95% CI 1.012-1.038) respectively. Positivity remained similar (slope change: 1.001; 95% CI 0.987-1.015). Unlike general trends noted, while HIV testing services among children aged <12 months declined 38.8% (IRR 0.351; 95% CI 0.351-1.006) with restrictions, recovery has been minimal (slope change: 1.008; 95% CI 0.946-1.073).Conclusion: COVID-19 restrictions were associated with significant but short-term declines in HIV testing services in Malawi, with differential recovery in these services among population subgroups, especially infants. While efforts to restore HIV testing services are commendable, more nuanced strategies that promote equitable recovery of HIV testing services can ensure no subpopulations are left behind.

Patient and health facility attributes associated with retention and virologic suppression in private for-profit health facilities in Nigeria.

BACKGROUND: In Nigeria, private for-profit health facilities present an opportunity to achieve the UNAIDS 95-95-95 HIV targets because of their reach and patronage. However, little is known about determinants of outcomes in these facilities. This study describes patient outcomes and the patient and health facility characteristics associated with these outcomes in adults receiving HIV treatment in private facilities in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Benue and Nasarawa states in north-central Nigeria. METHODS: A retrospective longitudinal analysis of program data collected between 2013 and 2019 was done. Patient attributes and outcomes were compared across the two states and FCT. Incidence rates were determined for all cause exit, mortality and loss to follow up (LTFU). Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify associations between patient and facility attributes and these outcomes. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to determine the factors associated with viral suppression among the study participants. RESULTS: Of the 22,010 study subjects, 42.7%, 22.2% and 35.1%, respectively, were in Benue, FCT and Nasarawa. Almost a third (31.8%) had received antiretroviral treatment (ART) for less than a year at censoring. Incidence rates for all-cause exit, mortality and loss to follow up (LTFU) were 17.2 (95% CI 16.8, 17.5), 2.1 (95% CI 2.0, 2.2), and 11.2 (95% CI 10.8, 11.8) per 100 person years respectively. Males had higher risks of death (HR = 1.47, 95% CI 1.25-1.73), and LTFU (HR = 1.08, 95% CI 1.00-1.16). Age at ART start showed a dose-response association with both mortality and LTFU. Care at model facilities (OR = 2.16, p < 0.001), Zidovudine (AZT)-based regimens (OR = 2.00, p < 0.001), and lowest quartile baseline CD4 + count (OR = 2.40, p < 0.001) were associated with regimen switch. 75.6% of subjects were viral suppressed. Male gender (OR = 0.84, p = 0.025); AZT-based regimen (OR = 0.72, p < 0.001), age in the bottom quartile (OR = 0.71, p = 0.002) were associated with virally suppression. CONCLUSION: Private for-profit facilities are a major provider of HIV and other health services in Nigeria. With appropriate technical support and engagement, they can help accelerate efforts to achieve epidemic control of HIV in Nigeria, and contribute to achievement of UNAIDS 95-95-95 target by 2030.

Is social media, as a main source of information on COVID-19, associated with perceived effectiveness of face mask use? Findings from six sub-Saharan African countries.

BACKGROUND: The use of face masks as a public health approach to limit the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been the subject of debate. One major concern has been the spread of misinformation via social media channels about the implications of the use of face masks. We assessed the association between social media as the main COVID-19 information source and perceived effectiveness of face mask use. METHODS: In this survey in six sub-Saharan African countries (Botswana, Kenya, Malawi, Nigeria, Zambia and Zimbabwe), respondents were asked how much they agreed that face masks are effective in limiting COVID-19. Responses were dichotomised as 'agree' and 'does not agree'. Respondents also indicated their main information source including social media, television, newspapers, etc. We assessed perceived effectiveness of face masks, and used multivariable logistic models to estimate the association between social media use and perceived effectiveness of face mask use. Propensity score (PS) matched analysis was used to assess the robustness of the main study findings. RESULTS: Among 1988 respondents, 1169 (58.8%) used social media as their main source of information, while 1689 (85.0%) agreed that face masks were effective against COVID-19. In crude analysis, respondents who used social media were more likely to agree that face masks were effective compared with those who did not [odds ratio (OR) 1.29, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.65]. This association remained significant when adjusted for age, sex, country, level of education, confidence in government response, attitude towards COVID-19 and alternative main sources of information on COVID-19 (OR 1.33, 95%CI: 1.01-1.77). Findings were also similar in the PS-matched analysis. CONCLUSION: Social media remains a viable risk communication channel during the COVID-19 pandemic in sub-Saharan Africa. Despite concerns about misinformation, social media may be associated with favourable perception of the effectiveness of face masks.